Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Daily Domestic Gross Sat, Mar. 16 2019

Wide (1000+)

#TitleSat, Mar. 16 2019LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Captain Marvel$29,418,61855%4,3100$6,826$245,351,0722Disney
2Wonder Park$6,380,30720%3,838--$1,662$11,710,5701Paramount
3Five Feet Apart$4,869,931-10%2,803--$1,737$10,275,6311CBS Films
4How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World$4,047,29558%3,727-315$1,086$132,907,9457Universal / DreamWorks Animation
5Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral$3,570,09964%2,350-92$1,519$56,727,3363Lionsgate
6Captive State$1,151,060-9%2,548--$452$2,417,4751Focus Features
7The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part$948,04064%2,046-884$463$100,710,3958Warner Bros.
8Alita: Battle Angel$821,84957%1,696-678$485$81,267,806520th Century Fox
9Green Book$578,46060%1,320-777$438$82,282,56618Universal Pictures
10Isn't It Romantic$533,15932%1,366-857$390$46,038,3035Warner Bros.
11Fighting With My Family$476,92648%1,580-875$302$20,590,7825MGM

Limited (100 — 999)

#TitleSat, Mar. 16 2019LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1No Manches Frida 2$1,261,130-3%472--$2,672$2,567,2041Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
2Apollo 11$522,76869%588183$889$5,147,7483Neon
3The Upside$368,25857%880-130$418$105,678,64410STX Entertainment
4What Men Want$320,39253%587-475$546$53,237,2906Paramount
5Greta$285,75042%980-1437$292$9,816,2153Focus Features
6Badla$201,58460%11521$1,753$1,175,6232Reliance Entertainment
7Happy Death Day 2U$160,39546%486-612$330$27,450,1605Universal Pictures
8Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse$139,06658%366-458$380$189,392,11314Sony / Columbia
9Aquaman$128,17155%283-20$453$334,346,23414Warner Bros.
10Everybody Knows$124,02590%248-35$500$2,239,4566Focus Features
11Run The Race$119,84226%446-307$269$5,795,9704Roadside Attractions
12The Kid$111,16230%2680$415$980,0532Lionsgate
13A Star is Born$103,40656%443-367$233$214,996,25624Warner Bros.
14Cold Pursuit$100,64572%376-447$268$31,539,4316Lionsgate / Summit
15Bohemian Rhapsody$100,49472%256-130$393$215,605,8992020th Century Fox
17Ralph Breaks the Internet$82,90050%172-37$482$200,770,50217Disney
19Mary Poppins Returns$52,29750%182-33$287$171,658,56613Disney
20The Favourite$52,24970%143-135$365$34,015,54717Fox Searchlight
21A Dog's Way Home$49,17749%169-25$291$41,779,21310Sony Pictures
22They Shall Not Grow Old$44,41594%150-63$296$17,506,71313Warner Bros.

Platform (1 — 99)

#TitleSat, Mar. 16 2019LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Gloria Bell$164,95756%3934$4,230$460,3902A24
2The Wedding Guest$45,77858%9665$477$188,6583IFC Films
3Escape Room$34,80940%85-25$410$56,590,71111Sony Pictures
4Birds of Passage$33,25556%9747$343$329,4755The Orchard
5Free Solo$32,43062%72-47$450$17,343,80425National Geographic Entertainment
6Arctic$31,96243%97-111$330$2,136,7337Bleecker Street
7The Mustang$27,8038%4--$6,951$53,5571Focus Features
8Total Dhamaal$27,79995%54-64$515$2,134,4104FIP
9The Prodigy$27,15747%88-64$309$14,758,1346Orion Pictures
10The Aftermath$23,46738%5--$4,693$40,4961Fox Searchlight
11Faith, Hope & Love$21,2699%18--$1,182$40,8571ArtAffects Entertainment
12If Beale Street Could Talk$17,612109%59-15$299$14,830,27714Annapurna
14The Hummingbird Project$12,85419%4--$3,214$23,6321The Orchard
15Cold War$12,32485%45-15$274$4,525,50613Amazon Studios
16The Invisibles$9,416110%15-1$628$290,2308Greenwich Entertainment
17Yardie$8,90528%77--$116$15,8841Rialto Pictures
18Miss Bala$6,82211%35-29$195$14,991,1507Sony Pictures
19The Kid Who Would Be King$6,57516%63-32$104$16,754,977820th Century Fox
20Cliffs of Freedom$3,91889%90$435$45,5653
21Uri: The Surgical Strike$3,264106%5-4$653$4,181,43810PackYourBag Films
22The World Before Your Feet$1,111334%31$370$256,03517Greenwich Entertainment
23Destroyer$1,10492%5-3$221$1,530,36212Annapurna Pictures
24Creed II$77547%8-12$97$115,714,73517MGM / Warner Bros
25The Wild Pear Tree$463246%2-2$232$27,0007Cinema Guild
26This Magnificent Cake!$335488%21$168$2,9453GKIDS
27Hotel By The River$33159%40$83$21,3485Cinema Guild
28Racetime$79-79%5-13$16$1,862,39515Entertainment One
29Belle and Sebastian, Friends for Life$49600%1-5$49$104,8818Entertainment One
30Ferrante Fever$42163%32$14$5,0872Greenwich Entertainment