Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Daily Domestic Gross Fri, Feb. 16 2018

Wide (1000+)

#TitleFri, Feb. 16 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Black Panther$75,941,146--4,020--$18,891$75,941,1461Disney
2Fifty Shades Freed$5,658,20080%3,7680$1,502$64,849,6552Universal
3Peter Rabbit$4,070,866278%3,7250$1,093$35,043,4082Sony / Columbia
4The 15:17 to Paris$2,067,415131%3,0420$680$19,815,1322Warner Bros.
5Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle$1,866,306210%2,800-336$667$371,544,8719Sony / Columbia
6The Greatest Showman$1,326,083173%1,936-437$685$150,704,4399Fox
7Early Man$849,299--2,494--$341$849,2991Lionsgate
8Maze Runner: The Death Cure$644,025112%1,892-1031$340$52,124,1514Fox
9Samson$630,110--1,249--$504$630,1101Pure Flix
10Winchester$572,40380%1,479-1001$387$20,202,5823Lionsgate / CBS Films
11The Post$465,58061%1,050-815$443$75,074,952920th Century Fox

Limited (100 — 999)

#TitleFri, Feb. 16 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1The Shape of Water$387,69749%957-823$405$51,966,41112Fox Searchlight
2Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri$344,89081%780-493$442$46,814,39619Fox Searchlight
312 Strong$245,16439%815-1086$301$43,393,3705Warner Bros.
4Den of Thieves$230,32648%730-738$316$42,732,2565STX Entertainment
5Darkest Hour$219,29551%602-443$364$52,460,98713Focus Features
6Hostiles$211,678-20%767-1447$276$27,688,5049Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
7I, Tonya$210,87954%502-586$420$26,314,99811Neon
8Detective Chinatown 2$191,124--115--$1,662$191,1241Warner Bros.
9Phantom Thread$169,95533%355-203$479$17,166,5798Focus Features
11Lady Bird$145,53276%407-244$358$45,791,69716A24
12Star Wars: The Last Jedi$132,46328%351-479$377$617,555,24010Disney
13La Boda de Valentina$125,944146%3310$380$1,667,0382Lionsgate / Pantelion
14Forever My Girl$115,81819%401-687$289$15,372,4855Roadside Attractions/LD Entertainment
15Paddington 2$97,64735%393-1036$248$38,972,7056Warner Bros.
16Pad Man$86,847123%1520$571$1,082,6572Sony Pictures Releasing International
18Wonder (2017)$56,01167%193-68$290$131,517,90514Lionsgate
19Molly's Game$50,53120%170-367$297$28,204,6838STX Entertainment
20Thor: Ragnarok$47,125166%149-24$316$314,445,24916Disney
21Insidious: The Last Key$39,73051%169-376$235$67,087,2057Universal
22Pitch Perfect 3$37,105125%157-160$236$104,528,6509Universal
23The Commuter$30,391-15%148-442$205$35,856,8896Lionsgate
24Justice League$28,791139%144-44$200$228,645,26314Warner Bros.

Platform (1 — 99)

#TitleFri, Feb. 16 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Monster Hunt 2$116,236--69--$1,685$116,2361Lionsgate
2The Party$12,490--3--$4,163$12,4901Roadside Attractions
3Proud Mary$8,713-31%62-149$141$20,737,9736Sony / Screen Gems
4All the Money in the World$8,67023%37-26$234$24,927,2448Sony / TriStar
5Nostalgia$7,316--3--$2,439$7,3161Bleecker Street
6Murder on the Orient Express (2017)$7,29510%51-43$143$102,763,40215Fox
7The Disaster Artist$5,52470%23-8$240$21,086,13012New Line / A24
8Mind Game$4,056--7--$579$4,0561GKIDS
9The Florida Project$3,963-9%23-9$172$5,812,51920A24
10Golden Exits$2,47971%1110$225$19,7582Vertical Entertainment
11Bilal: A New Breed of Hero$1,896-16%16-74$119$478,5453Vertical Entertainment
12Western$1,619--1--$1,619$1,6191Cinema Guild
13Let There Be Light$1,575--151$105$7,233,47117Atlas
14Mary and The Witch's Flower$1,047-39%3-12$349$1,946,4875GKIDS
15The Breadwinner$812-52%166$51$294,74714GKIDS
16The Wedding Party 2: Destination Dubai$6807%2--$340$3,2201IronFlix
17Big Sonia$550-71%10$550$175,47714Argot Pictures
18Birdboy: The Forgotten Children$285--2--$143$36,65210GKIDS
19Roman J. Israel, Esq.$163247%3-3$54$11,962,04214Sony Pictures
20BPM (Beats Per Minute)$21--20$11$111,49118The Orchard