Weekend Predictions: 'Conan the Barbarian,' 'Spy Kids: All the Time in the World,' 'Fright Night' and 'One Day'

Featured Stories - on August 18, 2011 by Phil Contrino

819predictions.jpgNone of the four newcomers hitting theaters this weekend will be able to topple The Help.

Disney's drama is already a massive word-of-mouth success. With an A+ overall CinemaScore rating and a 93% approval rating from more than 16,000 Flixster users there's nothing that will stop The Help from hitting $100 million domestically. The socially conscious flick proves once again that there's always plenty of room at the box office during the summer for serious-minded material aimed at adults.

As of 4 p.m. PT, Fandango.com is reporting that The Help leads daily sales with an impressive 31%.

Look for The Help to rake in another $21 million during its sophomore frame.

Lionsgate's Conan the Barbarian looks like the strongest newcomer. Forget that star Jason Momoa is far from a reliable at this point in careerthe real selling point is the Conan character. Fans of '80s action flicksthe same crowd that made Lionsgate's The Expendables a massive hit last Augustwill show up in droves on opening weekend. Look for this version of Conan to be very front-loaded.

Conan the Barbarian is outpacing The Expendables on Facebook, but it is behind on Twitter. Subscribe to Boxoffice Pro for full Facebook and Twitter tracking.

Fandango is reporting that Conan the Barbarian has yet to crack the top five sellers list. Chances are online sales will pick up on Thursday as more Conan fans plan for the weekend.

Conan the Barbarian should manage $16 million from 3,105 locations during its debut frame.

Robert Rodriguez ventures back to family-friendly territory with Spy Kids: All the Time in the World. The key to any successful 3D film aimed at kids is selling their parents on the film first, and All the Time in the World doesn't seem too concerned with that. The presence of Ricky Gervais' voice work might make the flick seem a bit more adult-friendly, but we're betting that a lot of parents will be dragged into this one kicking and screaming.

All the Time in the World has also failed to crack the top five sellers list on Fandangoa disconcerting sign.

Expect All the Time in the World to grab $15.5 million from around 3,000 locations during its debut frame.

Fright Night will try to tap into the current hysteria surrounding vampires. The big question is whether or not the Twilight saga has poisoned that well and made vampires look lame to males 18-34the group that Fright Night is gunning for. The star power of Colin Farrell won't help much. Farrell is making a play at bigger roles after falling off the mainstream radar for a bit, but audiences may not welcome him back with open arms.

There's no sign of Fright Night on the top ten daily sellers list on Fandango.

Fright Night looks poised for $14 million from around 2,900 locations.

One Day will be hurt considerably by the popularity of The Help. It also doesn't help that critics are ripping the romantic drama to shreds. Adults may be starved for serious flicks after a summer of bombs and car chases, but they can still smell a stinker a mile away. See also Larry Crowne.

Fandango reports that One Day has yet to make a serious impact.

A debut haul of $6 million from around 1,600 locations looks likely for One Day.

Check out our top 10 predictions in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
The Help Aug 10, 2011 Disney / DreamWorks
$21,000,000 $73,000,000
Rise of the Planet of the Apes Aug 5, 2011 Fox
$16,500,000 $134,700,000
Conan the Barbarian (2011) Aug 19, 2011 Lionsgate
$16,000,000 $16,000,000
Spy Kids: All The Time In The World Aug 19, 2011 Weinstein Company
$15,500,000 $15,500,000
Fright Night (2011) Aug 19, 2011 Disney / DreamWorks
$14,000,000 $14,000,000
The Smurfs Jul 29, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$9,000,000 $119,900,000
Final Destination 5 Aug 12, 2011 Warner Bros. / New Line
$8,200,000 $33,200,000
30 Minutes or Less Aug 12, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$7,200,000 $27,200,000
One Day Aug 19, 2011 Focus
$6,000,000 $6,000,000
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II Jul 15, 2011 Warner Bros.
$4,600,000 $366,200,000
Crazy, Stupid, Love Jul 29, 2011 Warner Bros.
$4,500,000 $64,300,000

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: Conan the Barbarian, Spy Kids: All the Time in the World, Fright Night, One Day, The Help


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